Everyone agrees on the left: the beginning of the end of macronism has sounded, if only because the head of state is carrying out his last mandate. The question then arises of its “disappointed” and its “orphans”. The former, already bitter about the original promises; the second will soon be looking for a new political offer for 2027, once the second term of the founder and organizing principle of Renaissance has been completed. These voters, once socialists, lost to the left for the most part in 2017 but also in 2022. A whole electoral terrain to conquer.
The equation is known. In 2017, a small half of François Hollande’s voters voted for Emmanuel Macron. Just over a quarter of them (28%) turn to Jean-Luc Mélenchon. In January 2022, a study by the Jean-Jaurès Foundation showed the majority of former voters of François Hollande ready to vote again for Emmanuel Macron (36%), reluctant to vote for Jean-Luc Mélenchon, but also and above all plunged into great uncertainty.
They will have finally been won by a wave of “useful vote” – the extent of which is the subject of quarrels of chapel – for the candidate of La France insoumise (LFI). The ecologist Yannick Jadot and the socialist Anne Hidalgo will gather between them 6.4%. It is for some the current weight of “Dutch-macronists”, minority. For others, the low scores for 2022 obscure a much larger potential.
” Breach of contract “
As the European elections of 2024 approach, a crucial element of identity of this electorate is resurfacing: the attachment to European construction.
It is not for nothing that the Greens are betting on an independent list. In this election, they are playing their identity but also the support of this particular electorate. Marine Tondelier, national secretary of Europe Ecologie-Les Verts (EELV), thus umes that she wants to reconnect with ” [leur] electorate of a day and always”.
Former national secretary of the party, David Cormand easily recites the broken promises of Emmanuel Macron: end of the “green Macron mirage” from, according to him, the resignation of Nicolas Hulot from his position as Minister of Ecological Transition, in September 2018, end of the promise of “new world versus old”failure to impose itself as a federalist player in Europe, reversal of promises of individual freedoms. “There are objective reasons for people who may have believed in macronism to say to themselves that there is a breach of contract”he believes.
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